Showing posts with label Sugar futures. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sugar futures. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Sugar Technicals from Reuters



SINGAPORE, Oct. 13 (Reuters) - New York sugar <SBc1> may extend its gain into a range between 28.50 cents and 29 cents per lb as a wave "5" is unfolding.

The uptrend is strong as the correction was shallow during the previous trading session, only touching a low at 26.22 cents, which is above 25.73 cents -- the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement level on the rise from 23.30 cents to 27.24 cents.

A rising channel is pointing to a range between 28.50 cents and 29 cents, but caution should guide expectations, as the wave "5" is generally the most difficult to be forecast on its peak.

Support is fixed at 27.10 cents, a fall below which would possibly trigger a further retracement to 26 cents.

Monday, October 11, 2010

Sugar Technicals from Reuters




SINGAPORE, Oct.11 (Reuters) - A bullish target at 27.17 cents per lb for New York sugar is intact, as an upward wave (5) is progressing.

Sugar has successfully stood above the 26.07 cents level, the 76.4 percent Fibonacci retracement on the fall from 27.17 cents to 22.49 cents, confirming a total reversal of the preceding downtrend.

Sugar may overshoot the wave (3) peak at 27.17 cents by penetrating into a range between 27.50 cents and 28 cents and pull back towards 27.17 cents thereafter.

A correction will be limited to a support at 25.50 cents.

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Sugar Technicals from Reuters

SINGAPORE, Oct. 5 (Reuters) - New York sugar is expected to resume an uptrend by rising into a range between 23.80 cents and 24.28 cents per lb, as a bottom could have formed at the Monday's low of 22.49 cents.

The drop from 27.17 cents is classified as a wave (4) retracement which is expected to end around the lower-degree wave "4" bottom at 23.52 cents.

But it seems the wave (4) has traveled slightly lower to 22.49 cents, close to 22.26 cents, the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level on the rise from 19.23 cents to 27.17 cents.

The following rebound will first arrive at 23.80 cents, and then continue to 24.28 cents - the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement level on the fall from 27.17 cents to 22.49 cents.

Support is at 23.82 cents, a fall below which will be limited to 22.26 cents. 
 
 

Friday, October 1, 2010

FMC lifts ban on Sugar Futures

Commodity Online: Forward Markets Commission (FMC) today lifted the Futures ban on Sugar on the grounds of reduced prices of the sweetener from its peak levels of January, 2010 and better crop outlook.

The commodity market regulator in the country lifted the ban and said that as the prices of the sweetener have dropped by 40% since January and also bumper output is expected in the year 2010-11.

Agency reports quoted the FMC Chairman, BC Khatua saying, “We have allowed to lapse the ban on trading today.”

However, the decision on launch of new contracts will be taken in next 2-3 days after taking consultation from sugar industry and commodity exchanges, the regulator said.

The futures trading ban had been imposed in May last year as the prices of the commodity had shot up exorbitantly.

Thursday, September 30, 2010

Pakistan Plans Wheat, Cotton, Sugar Futures to Aid Growers, Lure Investors

Pakistan plans to introduce futures contracts in cotton, wheat, sugar and corn as early as this year to support growers and attract foreign investment, the head of the National Commodity Exchange Ltd. said. 

“Sugar futures may begin in the next two months, while the rest of the three may take till June,” said Samir Ahmed, who is managing director of the commodity exchange. “The contracts will help bring consistency in local prices, benefiting growers. Initially, we will deal with as much as 5 percent of the crop, but later will include entire harvests.” 

Pakistan’s deadliest floods this year ruined crops worth 281.6 billion rupees ($3.27 billion), destroying rice, cotton and sugar, Farm Minister Nazar Muhammad Gondal said Sept. 28. By ripping out crops, stores and 4,000 kilometers of roads, the inundation boosted food prices and may push annual inflation to 20 percent, according to Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani. The National Commodity Exchange Ltd. already trades rice, gold and crude oil futures. Trading jumped to more than 20 billion rupees ($231.9 million) this week, the highest since 2007. 

“Futures contracts will end the practice of market manipulation in which growers were always paid less than what their crop was worth by influential farmers,” said Zairuf Chhotani, a commodities analyst with IGI Finex Securities Ltd. “Futures will allow the small man to take positions even before the crop is sown, and sell it to the highest bidder.” 

Investor confidence in commodities is growing and the bourse also plans to start futures contracts in zinc, steel and copper, Ahmed said in an interview yesterday. With the floods receding, he hopes the waters will reinvigorate the earth. 

Fertile Land
“There is fertile land and it will bear us more fruit in the coming year,” he said.
The country lost 2.39 million metric tons of rice and 10.4 million tons of standing sugar cane because of the floods, Gondal said in an interview in Islamabad. The nation may also import 2.8 million bales of cotton, he said. 

Exports from Pakistan, the world’s third-biggest rice supplier, may plunge 35 percent to 3 million tons in the year started July 1 from 4.6 million tons the previous year, according to Malik Jahangir, chairman of the Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan, on Sept. 1. 

Wheat and rice are the two staples for Pakistan’s people, and the government and international relief agencies have found it hard to provide food for affected areas. The United Nations said damage to infrastructure may hurt farmers for years. 

Cotton
The country, the third-largest cotton user, may import 50 percent more this year, said an industry official Sept. 21. Imports may reach 3 million bales, up from 2 million last year, according to Muhammad Arshad, a vice president at the Pakistan Central Cotton committee, a government-supported organization. 

The nation is also Asia’s third-biggest sugar user and may import 1 million tons next year after the floods damaged 15 percent of the cane crop, a farmers’ group said this month. 

Sugar mills may produce 3 million tons against a target of 3.5 million tons in 2011 because less cane will be available, said Ibrahim Mughal, chairman of the Agri Forum Pakistan. “That means we would need to import 1 million tons of raw or refined sugar to meet demand,” he said. 

To contact the reporters on this story: Khurrum Anis in Karachi at kkhan14@bloomberg.net;
To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Poole at japooole4@bloomberg.net