CBOT soybean November futures contract could fall further

 

   

SINGAPORE, Oct. 4 (Reuters) - The CBOT soybean November futures contract could fall further, to $10.25 per bushel, which could slow the drop and trigger a sharp rebound.

Three horizontal support line drawn through the lows at 10.22-3/4, $10.25 and $10.33 together form a strong support zone to hold up the fall.

The decline on Friday could be too steep not to be followed by a rebound, which is unlikely before soybean reaches the support zone.

Resistance is at $10.50, a rise above which would extend the gain to $10.65, a resistance derived from an ascending trendline.

Early calls for corn, wheat, and soybeans

CHICAGO, Illinois (Agriculture.com)--The pre-opening prices for the CME Group grain commodities for Wednesday, September 29, 2010 are sharply lower. The early calls for corn are 8-10 cents lower, soybeans 12-14 cents lower, and wheat 15-17 cents lower.

In overnight electronic trading, the Dec. corn futures contract traded 13 1/4 cents lower at $4.86 3/4 per bushel. The Nov. soybean futures contract traded 22 1/2 cents lower at $10.87 1/2 per bushel. The Dec. wheat futures contract traded 19 cents lower at $6.65 3/4. For Dec. soymeal futures, the contract traded $5.10 per short ton lower at $303.40, and Dec. soyoil up 0.91 point at $44.02.

The outside markets are supportive for Tuesday's grain trade. The real factors driving the sharply lower early calls are the sharply lower overnight markets.

As month-end and quarter-end approaches, investors are taking profits from the grain markets, traders say. Plus, there is no fresh bullish news to feed the rally. Traders see the corn market testing $4.85. 

Today, a lot of positioning is expected ahead of tomorrow's USDA's Quarterly Stocks report and a revision of the U.S. wheat crop. Trade expectations for tomorrow's stocks report: Corn at 1.407 billion bushels, soybeans at 151 million bushels, and wheat at 2.44 billion bushels.